UZGÖRÜ -  FORESIGHT

If you do not plan your own future,

you live others' planned future...

 

    

  

 Dr. Ozcan Saritas

(Assistant Professor)

CV

PhD Thesis

Papers

Reports

Manuscripts

tr2023_insaat

PREST/MIoIR - Manchester Institute of Innovation Research

Dr. Ozcan Saritas, Assist. Prof.

website stats Education / Qualifications - Experience - Project Work - Selected Publications  

Related Activities - Foresight Training

Scholarships - Personal Skills

Biography

Ozcan Saritas is based at the University of Manchester where he is a Research Fellow at the Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIoIR, formerly PREST). In MIoIR he is engaged in various research and teaching activities. Ozcan's research activity has been focused mostly upon long-term policy and strategy making with particular emphasis upon Foresight methodologies and their implementation in socio-economic and technological fields at the supra-national, national, regional and sectoral levels. During his doctoral research he developed unique Foresight approaches based on systems thinking. Since 2000, he has been working in a number of research projects including SESTI (Scanning for Emerging Science and Technology Issues), SANDERA (The future impact of security and defence policies on European Research Area), the European Monitoring Centre of Change Sector Futures project, BEFORE (sectoral foresight in five EU regions), and the ForLearn Online Foresight Guide. In 2004 and 2006 he had short term research contracts with United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO). In UNIDO he worked for the Industry Promotion and Technology Department to implement the UNIDO Technology Foresight Programme for Central and Eastern European Countries and Newly Independent States. On the teaching side, he delivers courses including “Sustainable Technology Management” and “Foresight Concepts and Methods” in the Management of Science, Technology and Innovation MSc Programme, “Strategic Foresight for Organisations” in the MBS-MBA Programme, and “Scenario Methods in Research” in the MBS-PhD Programme. He also supervises PhD and MSc students. On the executive education side, he acts as the co-director of the PREST Annual Foresight course. He has given lectures in the UNIDO Technology Foresight training courses and other Foresight courses organised by European Commission and European Science Foundation. Ozcan has recently been appointed as the new editor of the Foresight journal.

CV

Date of Birth: 23.02.1976

EDUCATION / QUALIFICATIONS

Ph.D., Manchester Business School, PREST Research Centre (2002-2006). Entitled as “Systems Thinking for Foresight”, the thesis analysed current institutional Foresight practice, detected its shortcomings with a systemic view and proposed the “Systemic Foresight Methodology - SFM”. Systemic Foresight has been tested in two university departments with the action research methodology. The SFM has also been applied at various Regional Foresight exercises in Europe on the IT, Logistics and Automotive sectors.

M.Sc., Istanbul Technical University, The Institute of Science and Technology (1998-2000). Masters thesis examined the relationship between the vocational training and development activities and employee turnover in firms in the Turkish construction industry.

B.A., Istanbul Technical University, Architecture Faculty, The Department of Architecture (1994-1998). Ranked third upon graduation.

High School, Istanbul Kabatas Erkek Lisesi (1990-1993).

EXPERIENCE Ç

Research Fellow, Manchester Business School, PREST, Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIoIR) (2003-present). Conducts research on Foresight concepts and methods; leads and participates to international, national and industrial projects; organises international Foresight training programmes; and coordinates and delivers lectures on Foresight and Scenario Planning in Ph.D., MBA and M.Sc. programmes.

Assistant Professor, Istanbul Technical University, The Department of Project and Construction Management (1998-2007). Conducted research and presented lectures on Technology and Innovation Management, New Process, Product and Service Development, Market Analysis and Research, National and Regional Policy in the context of Built Environment.

Research Fellow, United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO), Regional Virtual Centre for Technology Foresight in CEE&NIS, Budapest (2006). Provided inputs to the business concept for the implementation of the 2006-2008 UNIDO TF Programme for CEE/NIS. Participated to the Expert Meeting on Technology Foresight Programme in Vienna. Drafted a business plan for the RVC and the Service Unit at Infopark in Budapest for the implementation of the 2006-2008 UNIDO TF Programme for CEE/NIS

Intern, United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO), Investment Promotion and Technology Branch, Vienna (2004). Undertook Foresight related tasks including the initial works for the establishment of “Regional Virtual Centre for Technology Foresight” in Hungary; Edited course material for the Technology Foresight Course for Organisers in Turkey; Designed practical session activities for Foresight Seminar in Bashkortostan, Russian Federation. Produced a UNIDO Technology Paper entitled Modelling the structure of policy making for Science and Technology.

SELECTED PUBLICATIONS Ç

Journal Papers

  1. Saritas, O. (2010). Systemic Foresight Methodology, Technological Analysis and Strategic Management, forthcoming.

  2. Saritas, O. and Aylen, J. (2010). Using scenarios for roadmapping: The case of clean production, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Accepted for publication.

  3. Saritas, O. and Smith, J. (2010). The Big Picture – Trends, Drivers, Wild Cards, Discontinuities and Weak Signals, Futures, Article in Press.
  4. Cagnin, C., Loveridge, D. and Saritas, O. (2010). FTA and Equity: New Approaches to Governance, Futures, Article in Press.
  5. Loveridge, D. and Saritas, O. (2009). Reducing the Democratic Deficit in Institutional Foresight Programmes: A Case for Critical Systems Thinking in Nanotechnology, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol.76, issue 9, pp.1208-1221.
  6. Nugroho, Y. and Saritas, O. (2009). Incorporating network perspectives in Foresight: A methodological proposal, Foresight, vol.11, issue 6, pp.21-41.

  7. Daim, T., Basoglu, N., Dursun, O., Saritas, O. and Pisek, G. (2008). A comprehensive review of Turkish Technology Foresight project, Foresight, vol 11, issue 1, pp.21-42.

  8. Saritas, O., Taymaz, E. and Tumer, T. (2007). Vision 2023: Turkish National Technology Foresight Programme – a contextualist analysis and discussion, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 74, issue. 8, pp. 1374-1393.

  9. Oner, M.A. and Saritas, O. (2005). A systems approach to policy analysis – The case of construction sector in the Turkish five-year development plans, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 72, issue. 7, pp. 886-911.

  10. Saritas, O. and Oner, M.A. (2004). Systemic analysis of UK foresight results: Joint application of integrated management model and roadmapping, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol.71, issue.1-2, pp.27-65.

  11. Saritas, O. and Keenan, M. (2004). Broken premises and/or techno dreams? The future of health and social services in Europe, Foresight, vol.6, issue.5, pp.281-291

  12. Keenan, M., Saritas, O. and Kroener, I. (2004). A dying industry – or not? The future of the European textiles and clothing industry, Foresight, vol.6, issue.5, pp.313-322

 Conference Manuscripts

  1. Saritas, O. (2009). Systemic Foresight: A Regional Case, YIRCoF ’09 – Yeditepe International Research Conference on Foresight, Istanbul, September 4-6.
  2. Smith, J.E. and Saritas, O. (2009). S&T Foresight Baker’s Dozen – A Pocket Primer of Comparative and Combined Foresight Methods, YIRCoF ’09 – Yeditepe International Research Conference on Foresight, Istanbul, September 4-6.
  3. De Moor, K. and Saritas, O. (2009). Innovation Foresight for Living Labs, YIRCoF ’09 – Yeditepe International Research Conference on Foresight, Istanbul, September 4-6.
  4. Nugroho, Y. and Saritas, O. (2009). A Conceptual Model for Integrating Network Analysis in Foresight, YIRCoF ’09 – Yeditepe International Research Conference on Foresight, Istanbul, September 4-6.
  5. Becic, E. and Saritas, O. (2009). Defining the Development Priorities of NUTS2 Regions in Croatia, YIRCoF ’09 – Yeditepe International Research Conference on Foresight, Istanbul, September 4-6.
  6. Pook, K., Saritas, O., Elena, S. and Warden, C. (2009). Ready for the future: Universities’ Capabilities to Strategically Manage Intangibles, YIRCoF ’09 – Yeditepe International Research Conference on Foresight, Istanbul, September 4-6.
  7. Fikirkoca, A. and Saritas, O. (2009). Foresight for Science and Technology Parks: The case of Ankara University Technopole, YIRCoF ’09 – Yeditepe International Research Conference on Foresight, Istanbul, September 4-6.
  8. Elena, S., Pook, K., Warden, C. and Saritas, O. (2009). Visualising the hidden value of Higher Education Institutions, MSKE – Managing Services in the Knowledge Economy Conference 2009, Lisbon.
  9. Warden, C., Saritas, O., Pook, K. Elena, S. and Curaj, A. (2009). Future-proofing HEROs: Moving from Theory to Practice, ECIC – European Conference on Intellectual Capital 2009, Haarlem, April 28-29.
  10. Saritas, O. and Smith J. (2008) Big Picture Trends, Drivers and Discontinuities, Future-Oriented Technology Analysis Conference, Seville, October 16-17 (Anchor Paper).
  11. Cagnin, C., Loveridge, D. and Saritas, O. (2008). FTA and Equity: New Approaches to Governance, Future-Oriented Technology Analysis Conference, Seville, October 16-17 (Anchor Paper).
  12. Loveridge, D. and Saritas, O. (2008). Reducing the Democratic Deficit in Institutional Foresight Programmes: A Case for Critical Systems Thinking in Nanotechnology, Future-Oriented Technology Analysis Conference, Seville, October 16-17.
  13. Elena, S., Pook, K., Saritas, O. and Warden, C. (2008). Sustainable HEROs: Intangible Approaches to Sustainable Futures for Higher Education and Research Organisations (HEROs), 4th Workshop on Visualising, Measuring and Managing Intangibles and Intellectual Capital, Hasselt, October 22-24.
  14. Saritas, O. and Aylen, J. (2008). Using Scenarios for Roadmapping: The case of clean production, The R&D Management Conference, Ottawa, June 17-21.
  15. Loveridge, D. and Saritas, O. (2008). Appreciation and Anticipation in the Evolution of the Nano-field � A Case for Systemic Foresight, International Conference on Managing the Uncertainty of Nanotechnologies � Challenges to Law, Ethics and Policy Making, Rovigo, May 22-23.

  16. Saritas, O. and Keenan, M. (2007). Tool Transfer, Appropriate Adaptation? The Use of Delphi in National Science and Technology Foresight Exercises, From Oracles to Dialogue; Exploring New Ways to Explore the Future, COST A22 Conference (CD: A065-T1), Athens, July 9-11.

  17. Saritas, O., Pace, L., and Stalpers, S. (2007). Stakeholder Participation and Dialogue in Foresight, From Oracles to Dialogue: Exploring New Ways to Explore the Future, COST A22 Conference (CD: P042-T4), Athens, July 9-11 (Key-note paper).

  18. Seidl da Fonseca, R. and Saritas, O. (2005). Instruments for Strategy and Policy: Modelling the structure of the policy-making on Science and Technology, 14th International Conference on Management of Technology, 22-25 May 2005, Vienna, Austria (UNIDO, Technology Paper Series, TPS 3/05).

  19. Saritas, O. (2004). Systems thinking in Foresight: A systems analysis of British, Irish and Turkish Foresight Programmes, EU-US Scientific Seminar on New Technology Foresight, Forecasting and Assessment Methods, EC, IPTS, IAIA, 13-14 May, Seville.

  20. Saritas, O. (2004). Foresight – A critical view from a systems thinking perspective, Abstract, The Second International Conference on Organisational Foresight, University of Strathclyde Graduate School of Business, 26-28 August, Glasgow. http://www.gsb.strath.ac.uk/worldclass/foresight/2004/abstracts.asp

 Reports

1.   Saritas, O. (2008). UK Foresight Strategy, A report produced for the Global Forum: Foresight and Future Strategy, Korean National Information Society Agency, Seoul, November 13.

2.   Saritas, O. (2008). Future Scenarios on the Renewable Energy Sector, A report produced for the BEFORE project, available on http://www.before-project.org/

3.   Saritas, O. (2008). Future Scenarios on the Automotive and Logistics Sectors, A report produced for the BEFORE project.

4.     Saritas, O. (2008). Future Scenarios on the Aeronautics Sector, A report produced for the BEFORE project.

5.    Saritas, O. (2007). The Renewable Energy Sector: Trends and Drivers,  A report produced for the BEFORE project.

6.     Saritas, O. (2007). The Aeronautics Sector: Trends and Drivers, A report produced for the BEFORE project.

7.     Saritas, O. (2007). The Transport Sector: Trends and Drivers, A report produced for the BEFORE project.

8.     Saritas, O. (2006). Technology for Industry’ Foresight: Kocaeli 2012, Foresight Brief no.77, on http://www.efmn.info/kb/efmn-brief77.pdf, The European Foresight Monitoring Network.

9.  Saritas, O. (2006). Turkish S&T Vision 2023, Foresight Brief no.39, on http://www.efmn.info/kb/efmn-brief39.pdf, The European Foresight Monitoring Network.

10.   Saritas, O. (2006). Establishment of a Technology Foresight Regional Virtual Centre for CEE/NIS: A Business Plan, UNIDO RVC Service Unit, Budapest.

11.     Cameron H, Georghiou L,  Keenan M, Miles I and Saritas, O. (2006). Evaluation of the United Kingdom Foresight Programme, Office of Science and Innovation.

12.     Miles, I. and Saritas, O. (2005). Knowledge Intensive Business Services – What’s up with KIBS Nowadays, on http://www.emcc.eurofound.eu.int/sector_futures.htm,  European Monitoring Centre for Change, European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions.

13.     Miles, I. and Saritas, O. (2005). Knowledge Intensive Business Services – KIBS’ Stuff: Trends and Scenarios, on http://www.emcc.eurofound.eu.int/sector_futures.htm, European Monitoring Centre for Change, European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions.

14.   Miles, I. and Saritas, O. (2005). Knowledge Intensive Business Services – Policies, Issues and the Future of KIBS, on http://www.emcc.eurofound.eu.int/sector_futures.htm, European Monitoring Centre for Change, European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions.

15. Saritas, O. and Keenan, M. (2004). Policies and Actions for a Healthy Europe, on www.emcc.eurofound.eu.int/publications/2004/ef041.pdf, European Monitoring Centre for Change, European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions.

16. Saritas, O. and Keenan, M. (2004). Health and Social Services - Visions for the Future, on www.emcc.eurofound.eu.int/publications/2004/sf_hss_2.pdf, European Monitoring Centre for Change, European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions.

17. Saritas, O. and Keenan, M. (2004). The Future of Health and Social Services in Europe, on www.emcc.eurofound.eu.int/publications/2003/sf_hss_1.pdf, European Monitoring Centre for Change, European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions.

18.  Keenan, M. and Saritas, O. (2004). Policy Responses to Post-2005 Challenges in Textiles and Clothing, on www.emcc.eurofound.eu.int/publications/2004/ef04132en.pdf, European Monitoring Centre for Change, European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions.

19. Keenan, M. and Saritas, O. (2004). Textiles and Clothing: a dying industry - or not?, on www.emcc.eurofound.eu.int/publications/2004/ef04131en.pdf, European Monitoring Centre for Change, European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions.

20.  Keenan, M. and Saritas, O. (2004). Textiles and Leather in Europe: the end of an era or a new beginning?, on www.emcc.eurofound.eu.int/publications/2004/sf_1t_1.pdf, European Monitoring Centre for Change, European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions.

Poster Presentation

  1. Loveridge, D. and Saritas, O. (2004). Systems, Foresight and Law, Poster presented at the EU-US Scientific Seminar on New Technology Foresight, Forecasting and Assessment Methods, EC, IPTS, IAIA, 13-14 May, Seville. http://les.man.ac.uk/PREST/Download/Denis/systemsforesightlaw_wp42.pdf

PROJECT WORK Ç

Worked in numerous national and international projects including:

  1. QLHE - Quality and Leadership in Romanian Higher Education System, EU Structural Funds (2009-ongoing)

  2. SESTI, Scanning for Emerging Science and Technology Issues, 7th Framework Programme, European Commission (2008 - ongoing)

  3. SANDERA, The Future Impact of Security and Defence Policies on the European Research Area, 7th Framework Programme, European Commission (2008 - ongoing)

  4. NANOPLAT, Development of a Platform for Deliberative Processes on Nanotechnology in the European Consumer Market, 7th Framework Programme, European Commission (2008 - ongoing)

  5. FTA 2008 - Future-oriented Technology Assessment Seminar, Leads a Scientific Committee for the organisation of the Conference at DG-JRC, Institute for Prospective Technologies (IPTS) (2007 – ongoing)

  6. BEFORE, Benchmarking and Foresight for Regions of Europe, Coherent Development of Research and Innovation Policies, 6th Framework Programme, European Commission (2007 – 2008)

  7. CLEANPROD, Innovation on Sustainable Production, 6th Framework Programme, European Commission (2007 – 2008)

  8. INNFORMED, Innovation Foresight for MEDA Partners in the European Research Area, 6th Framework Programme, European Commission (2006 – 2008)

  9. EFMN, Monitoring Foresight Activities in Europe and Fostering their European Dimension, European Commission (2005 - 2007)

  10. COST Action 22, European Network for Foresight Methodologies, COST, European Co-operation in the Field of Scientific and Technical Research (2004 - 2007)

  11. FORLEARN, Support to Foresight practice: assess, validate and complement the structuring of an Online Foresight Guide, ESTO (European Science and Technology Observatory) Project (2005)

  12. Evaluation of the third cycle of the British Foresight Programme, Office of Science and Technology, Department of Trade and Industry, UK (2005)

  13. EMCC Sectoral Futures, for European Monitoring Centre of Change, European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions (2003 - 2005)

  14. Success for Social Science in the European Union 7th Framework Programme, European Commission (2004)

RELATED ACTIVITIES Ç

Article Peer-Review and Editorship experience

1.   Editor of the Foresight journal (2009-present)

2.  Peer-reviewed a number of articles in respected journals including Technological Forecasting and Social Change (TFSC), Technology Analysis and Strategic Management (TASM), R&D Management, and International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy.

3. Guest editor for the Future Oriented Technology Assessment (FTA) 2008 Conference special issue in Technological Analysis and Strategic Management (TASM). As a member of the FTA Conference Scientific Committee, involved also in the Editorial Boards of Technological Forecasting and Social Change (TFSC), Futures, and Science and Public Policy

4.   Co-editor of the Future Oriented Technology Assessment (FTA) 2008 Conference Proceedings

5.  Executive Committee member of the YIRCoF 2009 International Research Conference on Foresight, 2-4 September 2009, Istanbul

6.  Scientific Committee member of The 3rd International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis FTA: Impacts and implications for policy and decision making, 16-17 October 2008, Seville

7.  Saritas, O. Member of the Editorial Board for the adaptation of ARUP’s Drivers of Change cards into the Turkish context, Competitiveness Forum, Sabanci University, 2008, Istanbul

 

Key-Note Talks

  1. Saritas, O. The use of Foresight for industrial development, Kapital TV, Croatia, December 17, 2008.Saritas, O. What is Foresigt?, HRT, Croatian National TV, Good Morning Croatia Programme, December 17, 2008.
  2. Saritas, O. Foresight as a policy tool: Evolution and practice, International Conference on Foresight in Croatia, Zagreb, December 17, 2008.
  3. Saritas, O. (2008). UK Foresight Strategy, Global Forum: Foresight and Future Strategy, Korean National Information Society Agency, Seoul, November 13.
  4. Saritas, O. Horizon Scanning in the UK, KISTEP, Seoul, November 12, 2008.
  5. Saritas, O. New Approaches to Foresight, Systemic Foresight Methodology, STEPI, Seoul, November 11, 2008.
  6. Saritas, O. (2008). Roadmapping and Foresight, Lifting the Lid event, Daresbury Science Park, October 02.
  7. Saritas, O. (2008). Foresight and the case of Manchester Science Park Scenario Planning Exercise, Kick-off meeting for the Ankara University TechnoPark, Ilgaz, May 24-25.
  8. Saritas, O. (2007). Introduction to Foresight, Inno-Venture 2007 Brokerage Event, Ege University, EBILTEM - Science and Technology Research and Application Centre, Izmir, 13-14 December.

  9. Saritas, O. (2007). What is Foresight?, University of Economics, Bratislava, 4 December.

  10. Saritas, O. (2006). The evolution of Foresight practice in the world & in Turkey, PICMET 2006 Conference, Istanbul, 8-13 July.

Academic Courses Coordinated and Delivered

1.    Sustainable Technology Management, M.Sc. Management of Science, Technology and Innovation Programme (2009).

2.    Foresight Methods and Concepts, M.Sc. Management of Science, Technology and Innovation Programme (2008).

3.     Scenario Methods for Research, Manchester Business School Ph.D. Programme (2008).

4.   Strategic Foresight for Organisations, Manchester Business School MBA Programme (2008)

Presentations in Technology Foresight Executive Education Courses

  1. Expert and Stakeholder Panels in Foresight, UNIDO Technology Foresight Course for CEE/NIS Region, Module 1: Technology Foresight for Organisers, Gebze, Turkey,  2007 & 2008.

  2. Managing Foresight Exercises - Pitfalls to avoid, PREST Foresight Course for Organisers, Sponsors and Practitioners, Manchester, UK, 2007 & 2008.

  3. Designing and Organising Corporate Foresight, UNIDO Technology Foresight Course for CEE/NIS Region, Module 4: Technology Foresight for Corporate Managers, Bratislava, Slovakia, 19-22 February 2006.

  4. Expert Panels, UNIDO Technology Foresight Course for CEE/NIS Region, Module 4: Technology Foresight for Corporate Managers, Bratislava, Slovakia, 19-23 February 2006.

  5. Scope and Focus of Foresight Exercises, UNIDO Technology Foresight Course for CEE/NIS Region, Module 1: Technology Foresight for Organisers, Gebze, Turkey, 20-24 November 2006.

  6. Setting Priorities, UNIDO Technology Foresight Course for CEE/NIS Region, Module 1: Technology Foresight for Organisers, Gebze, Turkey, 20-24 November 2006.
  7. Scenario Planning, UNIDO Technology Foresight Course for CEE/NIS Region, Module 1: Technology Foresight for Organisers, Gebze, Turkey, 20-24 November 2006.
  8. Designing and Organising Foresight Exercises, PREST Foresight Course for Organisers, Sponsors and Practitioners, Manchester, UK, 3-7 July 2006.
  9. Technology Roadmapping, PREST Foresight Course for Organisers, Sponsors and Practitioners, Manchester, UK, 3-7 July 2006 (The same topic was presented from 2004 to 2007).

SCHOLARSHIPS Ç

  1. British Government Overseas Research Scholarship (2003-2006)

  2. Turkish Higher Education Council Scholarship (2002-2006)

PERSONAL SKILLS Ç

Language Skills:        Turkish (Mother tongue), English (Fluent), German (Beginner)

Computer Skills:     Microsoft Office Applications; SPSS for statistical analysis; iTHINK for system dynamics and simulation; Text Analyst for text analysis; Front Page for web site design.

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Updated on: 14/04/09